Numerous studies argue that the market risk premium is associated with economic conditions and show that proxies for business conditions indeed predict aggregate market returns. By directly estimating short- and long-run expected economic growth, we show that short-run expected economic growth...

We develop a theory of bank information sharing, highlighting the interactions between credit and labor markets. A better-informed relationship bank competes with a less informed foreign bank for borrowers under asymmetric information about borrowers' creditworthiness. Credit market competition...

We investigate how changes in home prices affect consumption in China via a wealth channel. Examining a panel of 7955 households via fixed effects and instrumental variable methods, we find a marginal propensity to consume out of housing wealth (home-price MPC) that is concentrated on goods...

This paper incorporates model ambiguity into the traditional hedge fund models to explore how ambiguity influences the manager's investment strategy, risk attitude and compensation structure. We find the manager is ambiguity aversion. Model ambiguity enhances her level of endogenous risk...

Real estate bubbles can increase collateral value, thus relaxing financial constraints, which might spur innovation. However, they might also crowd out R&D expenditures, thus stifling corporate innovation. This paper shows that real estate prices negatively affect both corporate R&D and patents...

This paper provides comprehensive theoretical and empirical analyses on bank lending under uncertainty. Our theory differentiates uncertainty from risk and shows that uncertainty-averse banks demand a premium in loan contracting for their exposure to the uncertainty. This premium gets larger as...

This paper analyzes lenders' pricing strategies in the business-to-customer (B2C) unsecured loan market by using a proprietary dataset of approximately 3 million unsecured consumer loans from a B2C online retailer in China. We find that lenders' decisions to invite customers are based on...

In most public companies in China, there are two thirds of shares that can't be traded freely in the secondary market. These illiquid shares, however, may be allowed to circulate unexpectedly one day. This paper delves into the investor's financial decision-making with restricted stock in a...