The Nelson-Siegel framework is employed to model the term structure of commodity futures prices. Exploiting the information embedded in the level, slope and curvature parameters, we develop novel investment strategies that assume short-term continuation of recent parallel, twist or butterfly...

We investigate the investability of commodity risk premia in China. Previously documented standard momentum, carry and basis-momentum factors are not investable due to the unique liquidity patterns along the futures curves in China. However, dynamic rolling and strategic portfolio weights...

Enormous capital inflows into the emerging commodity futures markets in China raised concerns about the impact of speculation. Using a broad sample of 30 commodities across sectors, this paper investigates whether the increased presence of speculators in recent years destabilizes the commodities...

This study examines the relationship between commodity futures and global stocks. For the first time, we examine the financialization of commodity futures by employing a quantile regression approach. From 2004-2013, we confirm a strong degree of dependence in energy commodities with moderate...

Total Portfolio Management (TPM) typically focuses on maximizing the fund level reward-to-risk ratio across asset classes on a strategic and tactical basis. Recent evidence suggests that style exposures provide a material contribution to the returns reaped by asset owners. We show that the...

We extract commodity-level sentiment from the Twittersphere in 2009-2020. A long-short systematic strategy based on sentiment shifts more than doubles the Sharpe ratio of extant commodity factors. The sentiment premium is unrelated to fundamentals but is exposed negatively to basis risk and is...

This paper takes a cross-country and cross-sector perspective to investigate the drivers of commodity momentum strategies. Commodity momentum strategies deployed in the U.S. and Chinese markets generate positive average returns with non-negligible correlations, but their premia are primarily...