In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly...

Tian and Dixon (2022) derived the variance of the estimator of cross-sectional distribution of durations (CSD). In this paper, we apply both Fieller's method and the Delta method to derive confidence interval of CSD using this variance formula. (CSD) is a new estimator derived by Dixon (2012)....

The cross-sectional distribution of completed lifetimes (DCL) is a new estimator defined and derived by Dixon (2012) in the general Taylor price model (GTE). DCL can be known as the cross-sectional weighted estimator summing to 1. It is a new statistics applying to describe the data. This paper...

Tian and Dixon (2022) derived the variance of the estimator of cross-sectional distribution of durations (CSD). In this paper, we apply both Fieller's method and the Delta method to derive confidence interval of CSD using this variance formula. (CSD) is a new estimator derived by Dixon (2012)....

The cross-sectional distribution of completed lifetimes (DCL) is a new estimator defined and derived by Dixon (2012) in the general Taylor price model (GTE). DCL can be known as the cross-sectional weighted estimator summing to 1. It is a new statistics applying to describe the data. This paper...

The bursts and multiplicity of Internet advertising have made multi-channel attribution an immediate challenge for marketing practitioners. Existing attribution models predominantly focus on analyzing consumers' converting path with respect to one focal firm while largely overlooking the impact...

We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...

We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...

We implement a quantitative empirical test of the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) model via indirect inference, comparing it to a standard New Keynesian model. The FTPL alternative creates a serious instability problem because it triggers a 'doom loop'in which inflation pushes up...

Developed economies have experienced slower growth since the 2008 Önancial crisis, creating fears of "secular stagnation." Rational expectations models have forward-looking bubble solutions, which could cause this; here we investigate the case of Japan. We show that a New Keynesian model with a...