In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, governments mobilized scientists to help them design, implement and evaluate policies. These scientists analysed the available scientific evidence and worked to incorporate it into policies, being in this way an essential interface between governments and...

The aim of this article is to estimate a Bayesian factorial dynamic model for the analysis and forecasting of the Brazilian tax burden (BTB) using monthly data from 1996 to 2007. Twenty taxes are responsible for about 80% of the BTB, each of which with a distinct seasonal pattern The factorial...

This paper presents new econometric specifications for the quarterly behavior of the aggregate consumption of Brazilian households in the 1995-2009 period. It is argued, in particular, that the use of quarterly measures of both private disposable income (in chained 1995 prices) and the credit...

Taxes levied by Brazil's 5.563 municipalities are significant components of the country's aggregate gross tax burden. However, official high-frequency aggregate data on these revenues are unavailable as of this moment. This paper develops a methodology for estimating them. Two procedures are...

This article presents new monthly estimates of the gross fixed capital formation of the Brazilian general government for the 2002-2010 years. A significant research effort was made to carry out the estimations. First, the many differences between the concepts of "public investment" (as used in...

This text argues for higher Personal Income Tax levels. We show that, for all countries for which tax information is available, Brazil is the one in which Personal Income Tax collection as a percentage of the gross tax burden is the lowest. Personal Income Taxes account for about 6% of the Gross...

This article presents a linear econometric model with variable coefficients for the analysis of the quarterly dynamics of the Brazilian gross tax burden in the 1995-2008 years.The choice of this particular model was motivated by the constant changes made in the Brazilian tax system during these...