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In this paper, we use accounting fundamentals to measure systematic risk of distress. Our main testable prediction—that this risk increases with the probability of recessionary failure, P(R|F)—is based on a stylized model that guides our empirical analyses. We first apply the lasso method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524470
We offer a model and evidence that private debtholders play a key role in setting the endogenous asset value threshold below which corporations declare bankruptcy. The model, in the spirit of Black and Cox (1976), implies that the recovery rate at emergence from bankruptcy on all of the firm's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578370
much scope to improve the design of insolvency regimes in order to reduce the barriers to restructuring of weak firms and … the personal costs associated with entrepreneurial failure. Insolvency regime reform can not only address the … markets. As the zombie firm problem may partly stem from bank forbearance, complementary reforms to insolvency regimes are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779088
For nearly two years, the two of us have had a running discussion of the costs and benefits of automatic stays in bankruptcy for qualified financial contracts (QFCs) such as derivatives and repurchase agreements, particularly those held by systemically important major dealer banks. Under current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009504439
Intuition suggests that firms with higher cash holdings should be 'safer' and have lower credit spreads. Yet empirically, the correlation between cash and spreads is robustly positive. This puzzling finding can be explained by the precautionary motive for saving cash, which in our model causes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206259
We present a dynamic structural model of subprime adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) borrowers making payment decisions taking into account possible consequences of different degrees of delinquency from their lenders. We empirically implement the model using unique data sets that contain information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499436
Productivity growth is slowing down among OECD countries, coupled with increased misallocation of resources. A recent strand of literature focuses on the role of non-viable firms (“zombie firms”) to explain these developments. Using a rich firm-level dataset for one of the OECD countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975694
be relieved. This would be facilitated by more efficient insolvency procedures and further development of non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464863
This paper explores the link between the design of insolvency regimes across countries and laggard firms’ multi …-factor productivity (MFP) growth, using new OECD indicators of the design of insolvency regimes. Firm-level analysis shows that reforms to … insolvency regimes that lower barriers to corporate restructuring are associated with higher MFP growth of laggard firms. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823606
Although the cost of financial distress is a central issue in capital structure and credit risk studies, reliable estimates of its size are difficult to come by. This paper proposes a novel method of extracting the cost of default from the change in the market value of a firm's assets upon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206258