type="main" xml:id="jtsa12108-abs-0001"The Gaussian mixture autoregressive model studied in this article belongs to the family of mixture autoregressive models, but it differs from its previous alternatives in several advantageous ways. A major theoretical advantage is that, by the definition of...

Simulation-based forecasting methods for a non-Gaussian noncausal vector autoregressive (VAR) model are proposed. In noncausal autoregressions the assumption of non-Gaussianity is needed for reasons of identifiability. Unlike in conventional causal autoregressions the prediction problem in...