The paper examines the link between net capital flows and international reserves emphasizing the external financing of reserve accumulation in the context of increasing international financial integration. The paper finds that the effect of net capital flows on reserve accumulation has shifted...

During financial turmoil, increases in risk lead to higher default, foreclosure, and fire sales. This paper introduces a costly liquidation process for foreclosed collateral and pro-cyclical recovery rates in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the financial accelerator. Links...

Extremely low inflation rates have moved to the forefront of monetary policy discussions. In Asia, a number of countries—most prominently Japan, but also Taiwan and China—have actually experienced deflation over the last fifteen years. Monetary Policy with Very Low Inflation in the Pacific...

Suppose that the government was to announce that the economy will be booming in six months and that this announcement is based on false data. What effect would such an announcement have on future aggregate activity? This paper employs revisions of the series of leading economic indicators to...

This paper tests the exclusion of lagged growth rates of money and output from regression equations, with serially correlated disturbances, for the expected real interest rate. The authors empirical approach is an extension of the empirical strategies of Eugene F. Fama (1975) and Frederic S....