Purpose – To develop an integrated approach to forecasting spot foreign exchange rates by incorporating some principles underlying long‐term dependence. Design/methodology/approach – The paper utilises the random‐walk framework to develop a stochastic forecast model wherein the sign...

Purpose – To develop an integrated approach to forecasting spot foreign exchange rates by incorporating some principles underlying long-term dependence. Design/methodology/approach – The paper utilises the random-walk framework to develop a stochastic forecast model wherein the sign...

In recent years there has been an increased interest in the extent to which managers can improve their property portfolio position through international diversification. Much of this interest has centred on the use of various statistical/econometric tests of time‐varying correlations and...

The local Hurst exponent, a measure employed to detect the presence of dependence in a time series, may also be used to investigate the source of intraday variation observed in the returns in foreign exchange markets. Given that changes in the local Hurst exponent may be due to either a...

This study investigates the effect of volatility scaling on valuing financial assets by examining the long-term return properties of the spot USD/AUD. Tests are conducted for evidence of a scaling law in USD/AUD returns. The economic implications of dependence and non-normality of the...