In Giraitis, Robinson, and Samarov (1997), we have shown that the optimal rate for memory parameter estimators in semiparametric long memory models with degree of "local smoothness" [beta] is n-r([beta]), r([beta])=[beta]/(2[beta]+1), and that a log-periodogram regression estimator (a modified...

In this paper we carry over the concept of reverse probabilistic representations developed in Milstein, Schoenmakers, Spokoiny [G.N. Milstein, J.G.M. Schoenmakers, V. Spokoiny, Transition density estimation for stochastic differential equations via forward-reverse representations, Bernoulli 10...

Let Mt be a vector martingale and <M>t denote its predictable quadratic variation. In this paper we present a bound for the probability that with a fixed vector z and discuss some of its applications to statistical estimation in autoregressive and linear diffusion models. Our approach is...</m>

Summury In this note we consider the problem of confidence estimation of the covariance function of a stationary or locally stationary zero mean Gaussian process. The constructed confidence intervals are based on the usual empirical covariance estimate and a special estimate of its variance. The...

Numerical algorithms for the efficient pricing of multidimensional discrete-time American and Bermudan options are constructed using regression methods and a new approach for computing upper bounds of the options' price. Using the sample space with payoffs at optimal stopping times, we propose...

Over recent years, a study on risk management has been prompted by the Basel committee for regular banking supervisory. There are however limitations of some widely-used risk management methods that either calculate risk measures under the Gaussian distributional assumption or involve numerical...

We consider the possibility of optimal choice of observation window in the problem of parameter estimation by the observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. A minimax lower bound is proposed for the risk of estimation under an arbitrary choice of observation window. Then the adaptive...