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This article evaluates the forecasting performance of dynamic factor models for Canadian inflation. We find that factor models are as good as more conventional forecasting models, while a model estimated using only US data, is at least as useful as a model that incorporates Canadian data. This...
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This paper examines the role of financial frictions in affecting the transmission of U.S. real and financial shocks to Canada using a dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model with an active banking sector and financial frictions. We find that the U.S. banking and interbank markets can be a...
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This paper develops a five-region version—Canada, a group of oil-exporting countries, the United States, emerging Asia, and Japan plus the euro area—of the global economy model encompassing production and trade of crude oil. In the presence of real adjustment costs that reduce the short- and...
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This paper compares the capability of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price-level-path targeting (PLPT) rules to minimize inflation and output gap variability in a two-country, two-sector version of the Global Economy Model calibrated for Canada and the United States. We find that simple...
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The paper subjects seven structural DSGE models, all used heavily by policymaking institutions, to discretionary fiscal stimulus shocks using seven different fiscal instruments, and compares the results to those of two prominent academic DSGE models. There is considerable agreement across models...
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