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The authors employ single‐factor models to estimate daily temperature variations for the valuation of weather derivatives. Classical financial models are adapted to fit temperature seasonality to a time series. As an example, Monte Carlo simulations of heating and cooling degree‐days are...
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Before August 2007, implied forward rates in the overnight interest swap rates closely reflected market expectations about the future path of the Eonia, and therefore, about the future course of the ECB’s monetary policy stance. Nevertheless, this link was weakened considerably during the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065652
This paper examines empirically the relationship between electricity spot and futures prices, by analysing a decade of data for a set of short term-to-maturity futures contracts traded in the Nordic Power Exchange. It is found that, on average, there are significant positive risk premiums in...
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This paper examines volatility transmission and conditional correlations behaviour between the US and the Asian stock markets considering the effect of the Global Financial crisis. One Asian mature market and 10 emerging markets are included in the sample. To carry out the analysis, we use a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976383
The purpose of this study is to investigate the causal linkages between the Spanish electricity, Brent crude oil and Zeebrugge (Belgium) natural gas 1-month-ahead forward prices. Following Lütkepohl et al. (2004), we control for the presence of a structural change in the series and then we use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039645