We use administrative records in Israel to identify the treatment effect of vocational training for the unemployed on the duration of unemployment. We randomize training using data on the availability of courses in and around the time of becoming unemployed. This assumes that the timing of entry...

1. Sea change in the west -- 2. Global theories of secular stagnation -- 3. Transition theory -- 4. Empirical aspects of the transition theory -- 5. The long wave hypothesis -- 6. Transition in the nineteenth century : the British climateric 1860-1900 -- 7. A re-run of the 1970s -- 8. The...