Several authors have questioned the evidence claimed by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí et al. (2001) that a hybrid version of the new Keynesian Phillips curve approximates European and US inflation dynamics quite well. We re-examine the evidence using the vector autoregressive framework and...

The degree of exchange rate pass-through to domestic goods prices has important implications for monetary policy in small open economies with floating exchange rates. Evidence indicates that pass-through is faster to import prices than to consumer prices. Price setting behaviour in the...

In this paper a bootstrap algorithm for a reduced rank vector autoregressive model with a restricted linear trend and independent, identically distributed errors is analyzed. For testing the cointegration rank, the asymptotic distribution under the hypothesis is the same as for the usual...

We use state space methods to estimate a large dynamic factor model for the Norwegian economy involving 93 variables for 1978Q2-2005Q4. The model is used to obtain forecasts for 22 key variables that can be derived from the original variables by aggregation. To investigate the potential gain in...