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We consider semiparametric estimation of the memory parameter in a model that includes as special cases both long-memory stochastic volatility and fractionally integrated exponential GARCH (FIEGARCH) models. Under our general model the logarithms of the squared returns can be decomposed into the...
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We consider semiparametric fractional exponential (FEXP) estimators of the memory parameter d for a potentially non-stationary linear long-memory time series with additive polynomial trend. We use differencing to annihilate the polynomial trend, followed by tapering to handle the potential...
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We propose a new hypothesis-testing method for multipredictor regressions in small samples, where the dependent variable is regressed on lagged variables that are autoregressive. The new test is based on the augmented regression method (Amihud and Hurvich, 2004), which produces reduced-bias...
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Studies of predictive regressions analyze the case where yt is predicted by xt - 1 with xt being first-order autoregressive, AR(1). Under some conditions, the OLS-estimated predictive coefficient is known to be biased. We analyze a predictive model where yt is predicted by xt - 1,...
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Let F be a distribution function in the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution such that −log(1−F(x))=x1/θL(x) for a positive real number θ, called the Weibull tail index, and a slowly varying function L. It is well known that the estimators of θ have a very slow rate of...
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