Showing 1 - 10 of 59
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005122555
In this paper we consider tests for the null of (trend-) stationarity against the alternative of a change in persistence at some (known or unknown) point in the observed sample, either from I(0) to I(1) behaviour or vice versa, of, inter alia, [Kim, J., 2000. Detection of change in persistence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005192646
Many key macroeconomic and financial variables are characterized by permanent changes in unconditional volatility. In this paper we analyse vector autoregressions with non-stationary (unconditional) volatility of a very general form, which includes single and multiple volatility breaks as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008866486
In this paper we build upon the robust procedures proposed in Vogelsang (1998) for testing hypotheses concerning the deterministic trend function of a univariate time series. Vogelsang proposes statistics formed from taking the product of a (normalised) Wald statistic for the trend function...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620952
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012273458
In this paper we develop a testing procedure for the presence of a deterministic linear trend in a univariate time series which is robust to whether the series is I(0) or I(1) and requires no knowledge of the form of weak dependence present in the data. Our approach is motivated by the testing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116261
Trend breaks appear to be prevalent in macroeconomic time series, and unit root tests therefore need to make allowance for these if they are to avoid the serious effects that unmodelled trend breaks have on power. Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2009) propose a pre-test-based approach which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052194
This paper develops univariate seasonal unit root tests based on spectral regression estimators. An advantage of the frequency domain approach is that it enables serial correlation to be treated non-parametrically. We demonstrate that our proposed statistics have pivotal limiting distributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052225
Recent approaches to testing for a unit root when uncertainty exists over the presence and timing of a trend break employ break detection methods, so that a with-break unit root test is used only if a break is detected by some auxiliary statistic. While these methods achieve near asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052302
Trend breaks appear to be prevalent in macroeconomic time series. Consequently, to avoid the catastrophic impact that unmodelled trend breaks have on power, it is standard empirical practice to employ unit root tests which allow for such effects. A popularly applied approach is the infimum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056390