We reevaluate Young and Varner’s (YV) study of the effect of New Jersey’s 2004 income tax increase on migration. The 2004 “millionaires’ tax†raised New Jersey’s marginal income tax rate from 6.37 percent to 8.97 percent on incomes over US$500,000. YV...

This paper examines the comprehensive IRS data set of state-state migration flows for evidence that differences in state income tax rates are associated with migration patterns. Using annual data on moves between every pair of states, pooled time-series cross-section regressions indicate that in...

The current expansion has seen record-high levels of transactions in housing, extraordinary growth in the aggregate value of owner-occupied housing, and large increases in the amount of funds realized from the refinancing of mortgage debt. Many analysts thus have pointed to the strong housing...

The treatment of owner-occupied housing in the Consumer Price Index has long been a subject of confusion and consternation. Thus, a session to explore the issues was organized at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Meeting in Chicago on September 26, 2005.Business Economics...

Among the most important pieces of empirical evidence against the standard representative agent, consumption-based asset pricing paradigm are the formidable unconditional Euler equation errors the model produces for cross-sections of asset returns. Here we ask whether calibrated leading asset...

Aggregate stock prices, relative to virtually any indicator of fundamental value, soared to unprecedented levels in the 1990s. Even today, after the market declines since 2000, they remain well above historical norms. Why? We consider one particular explanation: a fall in macroeconomic risk, or...

We develop a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth make an important contribution to fluctuations...