Laubach, Thomas; Williams, John C. - In: The Review of Economics and Statistics 85 (2003) 4, pp. 1063-1070
The natural rate of interest-the real interest rate consistent with output equaling its natural rate and stable inflation-plays a central role in macroeconomic theory and monetary policy. Estimation of the natural rate of interest, however, has received little attention. We apply the Kalman...