In this paper we consider maximum likelihood estimation in some exact and inexact linear rational expectation (LRE) models. The implications of the two models on the coefficients of the vector autoregressive (VAR) model are spelled out. The inexact version is more complicated and possible...

We present a framework for interpretation of the empirical results of New Keynesian models of inflation dynamics. Both the rational expectations solution of the structural New Keynesian Phillips curve, NKPC, and the reduced form VAR analysis of the multivariate time series properties give...

Some optimal inference results for a class of diffusion processes, including the continuous state branching process and the approximate Wright-Fisher model with selection, are derived. It is then showed how the theory of convergence of experiments, due to Le Cam, can be applied to derive...

We use state space methods to estimate a large dynamic factor model for the Norwegian economy involving 93 variables for 1978Q2-2005Q4. The model is used to obtain forecasts for 22 key variables that can be derived from the original variables by aggregation. To investigate the potential gain in...

Several authors have questioned the evidence claimed by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí et al. (2001) that a hybrid version of the new Keynesian Phillips curve approximates European and US inflation dynamics quite well. We re-examine the evidence using the vector autoregressive framework and...

In this paper a bootstrap algorithm for a reduced rank vector autoregressive model with a restricted linear trend and independent, identically distributed errors is analyzed. For testing the cointegration rank, the asymptotic distribution under the hypothesis is the same as for the usual...