We introduce a probabilistic framework for hysteresis, a ubiquitous phenomenon in economic situations involving sunk costs. The framework is applied to a simple model of a firm's market entry/exit decisions. We study the influence of sunk cost size, width of the hysteretic loop, and of...

This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing countries. An emerging consensus in the recent literature focusing on industrialized countries has noted the superior performance of the Fractionally Integrated Generalized...