We examine if the benefits of international portfolio diversification are robust to time-varying asset return volatility. Since diversified portfolios are subject to common cross-country shocks, we focus on the transmission mechanism of such shocks in the presence of regime-switching volatility....

This article examines whether the overall market risk, along with risks reflecting uncertainty related to the long–run dynamics of market cash flows (dividends) and discount rates (returns), price average returns on single–sorted portfolios in the Greek stock market. Our results...

Our analysis takes the perspective of an equity fund manager who seeks a potential safe haven asset to protect her portfolio during market downturns. We employ a regime-switching framework, within which we separate common and idiosyncratic shocks, to assess the suitability of gold, 10-year and...

We compare models for forecasting growth and inflation in the enlarged euro area. Forecasts are built from univariate autoregressive and single-equation models. The analysis is undertaken for both individual countries and EU aggregate variables. Aggregate forecasts are constructed by both...

We investigate the international information transmission between the US and the rest of the G-7 countries using daily stock market return data covering the last 20 years. A split-sample analysis reveals that the linkages between the markets have changed substantially in the recent era (i.e....