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A mean-reverting model is proposed for the spot price dynamics of electricity which includes seasonality of the prices and spikes. The dynamics is a sum of non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with jump processes giving the normal variations and spike behaviour of the prices. The amplitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495417
We propose a valuation model for catastrophe insurance options written on a loss index. This kind of options distinguishes between a loss period [0,T1], during which the catastrophes may happen, and a development period [T1,T2], during which losses entered before T1 are reestimated. Here we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005374838
We derive the density process of the minimal entropy martingale measure in the stochastic volatility model proposed by Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard [2]. The density is represented by the logarithm of the value function for an investor with exponential utility and no claim issued, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390692
The recent deregulation of electricity markets has led to the creation of energy exchanges, where the electricity is freely traded. In this paper, we study the most salient statistical features of electricity prices with a particular attention to the European energy exchanges. These features can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977436
We propose an approach for pricing and hedging weather derivatives based on including forward looking information about the temperature available to the market. This is achieved by modeling temperature forecasts by a finite dimensional factor model. Temperature dynamics are then inferred in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011284
We consider a financial market driven by a Levy process with filtration  [image omitted]. An insider in this market is an agent who has access to more information than an honest trader. Mathematically, this is modelled by allowing a strategy of an insider to be adapted to a bigger filtration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009215097
Sums of Levy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are appropriate for modelling electricity spot price data. In this paper we present a new estimation method with particular emphasis on capturing the high peaks, which is one of the stylized features of such data. After introducing our method we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008675062
We propose a model for stock price dynamics that explicitly incorporates random waiting times between trades, also known as duration, and show how option prices can be calculated using this model. We use ultra-high-frequency data for blue-chip companies to motivate a particular choice of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680515
In this paper, we generalize the approach of Hinz & Wilhelm (2006), Pricing flow commodity derivatives using fixed income market techniques. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 9, 1299–1321, replacing in the dynamics of the asset prices the Brownian motion by a more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279128
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887441