According to Wicksell's Classical Dichotomy the money rate of interest depends on the natural rate of interest, but the latter does not depend on the former. If this Classical Dichotomy is false monetary policy may induce hysteresis because the natural rate of interest would depend upon the...

In this chapter, we analyze the information content of data on inflationary expectations derived from the Israeli bond market. The results indicate that these expectations are unbiased and efficient with respect to the variables considered. In other words, we cannot reject the hypothesis that...

1. Sea change in the west -- 2. Global theories of secular stagnation -- 3. Transition theory -- 4. Empirical aspects of the transition theory -- 5. The long wave hypothesis -- 6. Transition in the nineteenth century : the British climateric 1860-1900 -- 7. A re-run of the 1970s -- 8. The...