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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003294240
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This paper applies recent cointegration techniques to analyse whether the forward market for the peseta/US dollar is efficient in both the one-month and the three-month segments of the market. Under the assumption of rationality, the premiums are small and they suggest a possible linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497906
We empirically investigate the determinants of EMU sovereign bond yield spreads with respect to the German bund. Using panel data techniques, we examine the role of a wide set of potential drivers. To our knowledge, this paper presents one of the most exhaustive compilations of the variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117744
This article explores the evolving relationship in the volatility of sovereign yields in the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). To that end, we examine the behaviour of daily yields for 11 EMU countries (EMU-11), during the period 2001--2010. In a first step, we decompose volatility in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970729
This article contributes to the literature on price convergence in Europe by investigating the existence of stochastic and deterministic convergence of car prices in the EU15 countries. We apply recently developed econometric techniques that allow for multiple structural breaks to an up-to-date...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010971245
This article examines real exchange rate (RER) volatility in 80 countries around the world, during the period 1970 to 2011. Two main questions are raised: are structural breaks in RER volatility related to changes in exchange rate regimes or financial crises? And do these two events affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010971367
In this paper, an alternative methodology for the assessment of the European Union's (EU's) regional policies is proposed, making use of the HERMIN macro-econometric model. A major feature of this approach is that it allows the comparison of the actual evolution of the economy under analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010975185
We offer further evidence on the relevance of technical trading in exchange-rate markets using daily data for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we investigate the profitability of a simple technical trading rule based on Taylor's (1980) price trend model, generating optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976482
We test for the existence of trends in exchange-rate series for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we make use of Taylor's (1980) price trend model that, instead of focusing on the mean reverting behaviour of exchange rates measured over a long horizon, concentrates on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976541