This paper compares the ability of nonlinear and standard linear models to capture the dynamics of foreign exchanges rates in the presence of structural breaks. The analysis is conducted for three East Asian countries, namely Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand. It is shown that a Markov...

In this paper we provide some empirical evidence on the casual relationship between stock prices and exchange rates volatility in four East Asian countries. In order to test for causality-in-variance, we use a GARCH model for which a BEKK representation is adopted, and then test for the relevant...

In this paper we examine whether during the 1997 East Asian crisis there was any contagion from the four largest economies in the region (Thailand, Indonesia, Korea and Malaysia) to a number of developed countries (Japan, UK, Germany and France). Following Forbes and Rigobon, we test for...

This paper examines global (mature market) and regional (emerging market) spillovers in local emerging stock markets. Tri-variate VAR-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean models are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs) in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East. The models capture a range of...

This paper estimates a bivariate VAR-GARCH (1,1) model to examine linkages between the stock market and economic growth in three CEEC countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland). The empirical findings suggest that there is unidirectional causality running from stock markets to growth in...