[eng] Our article presents an overview of panel unit-root tests. There are two major trends in this research area. First, since the late 1990s, the work on panel unit-root tests aims to take account of heterogeneity in dynamic properties of series. Second, attempts have recently been made to...

[eng] This paper offers an overview of panel-data cointegration tests. We present the main tests based on the null hypothesis of no cointegration (Pedroni, Kao, Bai and Ng test ; Groen and Kleibergen test ) and the McCoskey and Kao test based on the null hypothesis of cointegration. We also...

"Using panel data models, the author examines the threshold effects of the productivity of infrastructure investment in developing countries. He considers various specifications of an augmented production function that allow for endogenous thresholds. More precisely, these specifications are...

Cet article élabore une nouvelle méthodologie de datation des cycles financiers extrêmes. S?appuyant sur la théorie des valeurs extrêmes, il étend la « calculus rule » afin de détecter les pics et les creux exceptionnels. Appliquée sur des séries financières américaines...

Bank credit to Egypt's private sector decreased over the last decade, despite a recapitalized banking system and high rates of economic growth. Recent macro-economic turmoil has reinforced the trend. This paper explains the decrease based on credit supply and demand considerations by 1)...

This paper presents a new method to validate risk models: the Risk Map. This method jointly accounts for the number and the magnitude of extreme losses and graphically summarizes all information about the performance of a risk model. It relies on the concept of a super exception, which is...

We present an evaluation of the main empirical approaches used in the literature to estimate the contribution of public capital stock to growth and private factors’ productivity. Based on a simple stochastic general equilibrium model, built as to reproduce the main long-run relations observed...

[fre] Le partage de la valeur ajoutée dans le cycle. Quelques pistes de modélisation en équilibre général . Christophe Hurlin et Franck Portier . Notre objectif dans cet article est de présenter un rapide constat empirique de l'évolution cyclique du partage de la valeur ajoutée dans les...

Traditionally, financial crisis Early Warning Systems (EWSs) have relied on macroeconomic leading indicators when forecasting the occurrence of such events. This paper extends such discrete-choice EWSs by taking the persistence of the crisis phenomenon into account. The dynamic logit EWS is...