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In this paper, we present a multi-factor continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (CARMA) model for the short and forward interest rates. This model is able to present an adequate statistical description of the short and forward rate dynamics. We show that this is a tractable term structure...
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We discuss the modeling of electricity contracts traded in many deregulated power markets. These forward/futures type contracts deliver (either physically or financially) electricity over a specified time period, and is frequently referred to as swaps since they in effect represent an exchange...
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In the recent literature, empirical tests of stationarity of freight rates often conclude that spot freight rates are non-stationary processes. However, many maritime economists would argue that the freight rate cannot exhibit asymptotically explosive behaviour, as implied by non-stationarity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004988057
This paper presents a theoretically sound portfolio performance measure that takes into account higher moments of distribution. This measure is motivated by a study of the investor's preferences to higher moments of distribution within Expected Utility Theory and an approximation analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005006319
This paper outlines the methodology to price the newly introduced Forward Ship Value Agreements (FOSVAs). FOSVAs are derivatives aimed at managing asset risk in the second-hand markets for bulk vessels and are traded over the counter. We then estimate the implied forward prices from historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005092234
This paper examines the efficiency and predictive power of implied forward shipping charter rates. In particular, we examine whether implied forward 6-month time-charter rates, which are derived through the difference between time-charters with different maturities based on the term structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005596891