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German hog production only responds in a very limited way to price fluctuations in the pork market. The hog production concentrates on a few regions though it is not bound to special natural conditions such as soil quality. Furthermore, the volume of production does not vary over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005282428
This study examines problems that may occur when conventional Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) estimators are used to quantify market risks in an agricultural context. For example, standard VaR methods, such as the variance‐covariance method or historical simulation, can fail when the return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014667290
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001732418
This study examines rainfall variability and its implications for wheat production risk in northeast Germany. The hedging effectiveness of rainfall options and the role of geographical basis risk are analyzed using a daily precipitation model. Simpler pricing methods such as the burn analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014667224
Since the mid‐1990s, agricultural economists have discussed the relevance of index‐based insurances, also called “weather derivatives”, as hedging instruments for volumetric risks in agriculture. Motivated by the question of how weather derivatives should be priced for agricultural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014667242
Since the mid-1990s, agricultural economists have discussed the relevance of index-based insurances, also called “weather derivatives”, as hedging instruments for volumetric risks in agriculture. Motivated by the question of how weather derivatives should be priced for agricultural firms,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979843
This study examines rainfall variability and its implications for wheat production risk in northeast Germany. The hedging effectiveness of rainfall options and the role of geographical basis risk are analyzed using a daily precipitation model. Simpler pricing methods such as the burn analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005007769
It is a matter of common knowledge that weather represents the major source of uncertainty in crop production. It is to be expected that weather fluctuations will increase in the future due to climate change. Traditionally, farmers tried to protect themselves against weather-related yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279734
In this paper we analyse the timing of disinvestment decisions by applying a real options approach to explain the experimentally observed disinvestment behaviour of agricultural entrepreneurs. Within this framework the tendency to postpone exit and termination choices can be rationalised. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010683513
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