This paper conducts the goodness of fit test of Bartlett (1954) on the stock prices of 12 countries during the period from January 1921 to December 1930 to examine the market efficiency hypothesis. The market efficiency hypothesis is not rejected for most European countries, but it is rejected...

This paper proposes a nonlinear error-correction model based upon smooth transition regression methodology. The model is specified such that the short-run adjustment toward long-run equilibrium is nonlinear and that the error correction is a smooth function of long-run deviation. Empirical...

This article investigates Granger causality between exchange rates and prices for the US and four of its trading partners: Canada, Germany, Japan and the UK. We emphasize the distinction between direct and indirect Granger causality: exchange rates directly cause prices if movements in exchange...