We undertake an empirical analysis of the UK output gap using real-time data and an approach that accommodates, in a coherent way, three types of uncertainty when measuring the gap. These are model uncertainty (associated with the choice of model and de-trending technique), estimation...

We propose to produce accurate point and interval forecasts of exchange rates by combining a number of well known fundamental based panel models. Combination of each model utilizes a set of weights computed using a linear mixture of experts's framework, where weights are determined by log scores...

Methods are described for the appropriate use of data obtained and analysed in real time to represent the output gap. The methods employ cointegrating VAR techniques to model real-time measures and realizations of output series jointly. The model is used to mitigate the impact of data revisions;...

Suggests major factors that will enable service companies to become winners in the 1990s. Includes comment on strategic vision in service delivery, customer needs, communicating leadership vision to front‐line people and the necessary investment in training. Discusses “customer service...

This paper examines the structural linkages that may exist between the G7 national interest rates. Its aim is to exploit some new techniques in cointegration analysis to see to what extent conclusions can be drawn purely from the data without imposing any arbitrary identification conditions....