This book contains a theoretical and empirical analysis of the sources of technological change and economic growth. The first part takes an aggregate view at the growth process. Scale economies and knowledge spillovers are analysed with a broad panel of sectoral data for Germany and the United...

A macroeconomic disequilibrium model is developed for the Federal Republic of Germany. Starting with a microeconomic model of firm's behaviour, the optimal dynamic adjustment of employment and investment is derived. The model of the firm is complemented by an explicite aggregation procedure...

Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts....

Zusammenfassung Mit dem Konjunkturtest, dem Innovationstest und dem Investitionstest des ifo Instituts liegt ein umfangreicher Datensatz der Unternehmen des verarbeitenden Gewerbes in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland vor, der es erlaubt, detaillierte Untersuchungen des Unternehmensverhaltens...

Summary Nearly 20 years after unification large differences of the labor market situation in East and West Germany persist. Wages are still considerably lower, the unemployment rate is about twice of the West German level, and the competitiveness of the East German economy seems to be low. This...