This paper is a first attempt at evaluating the determinants of the interest rate differentials on government bonds between high yielders, namely Italy, Spain and Sweden, and Germany. In particular the authors concentrate on daily frequencies, where the relevance of economic fundamentals is...

This paper allows for the effect of taxation in the econometric model for the analysis of exploration and production policies of "price taking suppliers" recently proposed in Pesaran (1990). The tax system in the UKCS is not neutral, therefore the separation of the "deep" parameters in the model...

This paper shows how to decompose weakly stationary time series into the sum, across time scales, of uncorrelated components associated with different degrees of persistence. In particular, we provide an Extended Wold Decomposition based on an isometric scaling operator...

This article illustrates how the information component determining long-horizon US stock market returns can be related to a demographic variable, MY the ratio of middle-aged to young adults. In fact, MY can be seen as the major determinants of a slowly evolving time-varying mean of the...

We propose a decomposition for time series in components classified by levels of persistence. Employing this decomposition, we provide empirical evidence that consumption growth contains predictable components highly correlated with well-known proxies of consumption variability. These components...

This paper documents the existence of a slowly evolving trend in the dividend-price ratio, dpt, determined by a demographic variable, MY: the middle-aged to young ratio. Deviations of dpt from this long-run component explain transitory but persistent fluctuations in stock market returns. The...