We specify a vector autoregression (VAR) model for the U.S. for 1980–2008 to investigate the statistical causal relationships between private non-residential fixed investment, the effective Federal funds rate, personal consumption expenditures, nonfinancial corporate profits, and the...

The UN Framework Convention on Climate Change recognises that, in the formulation of a global strategy for reducing global emissions of carbon (the main factor in global warming) forests could play an important role. This book highlights that role and demonstrates how the forests of the world...

A variety of natural disasters occur in Canada. Yet apart from simple ``return period'' calculations, no apparent research seems to have made systematic use of the OCIPEP database on all natural disasters in Canada over the period of 1900 to 2000. This paper (a) describes the main...

This paper examines the financial crisis of 2007/9 and the downturn in the U.S. We argue that effective demand over the 2001–2006 expansion was maintained by credit. The role of credit in a Vector Error Correction Model and Granger-causality between aggregate spending, credit, disposable...

The paper is a parametric and nonparametric analysis of past precipitation data. We analyze 90 years of daily precipitation data at the Sooke Reservoir in British Columbia, Canada, for evidence of climate change. We fit probability density functions (PDFs) to the data and find evidence of a...

The BDS test is the best-known correlation integral–based test, and it is now an important part of most standard econometric data analysis software packages. This test depends on the proximity (<InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$\varepsilon )$$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> and the embedding dimension (<InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$m)$$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation> parameters both of which are chosen by the...</equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></inlineequation>