This article estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a ‘canonical’ stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2009a). This framework is applied to a selected data set on survey-based...

The paper discusses the impact of the financial crisis on macroeconomics and on research into financial markets. The cornerstones of the economic mainstream were made obsolete by actual developments in recent years, and there are now signs that a fundamental paradigm shift is possible. After the...