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Summary This paper analyzes the forecast accuracy of the multivariate realized volatility model introduced by Chiriac and Voev (2010), subject to different degrees of model parametrization and economic evaluation criteria. Bymodelling the Cholesky factors of the covariance matrices, the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609331
The expected value of sums of squared intraday returns (realized variance) gives rise to a least squares regression which adapts itself to the assumptions of the noise process and allows for joint inference on integrated variance (<inline-graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="ubes_a_637876_o_ilm0001.gif"/>), noise moments, and price-noise relations. In the iid noise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010975844
We develop a panel intensity framework for the analysis of complex trading activity datasets containing detailed information on individual trading actions in different securities for a set of investors. A feature of the model is the presence of a time-varying latent factor, which captures the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010535114
We analyze the effects of nonsynchronicity and market microstructure noise on realized covariance type estimators. Hayashi and Yoshida (2005) propose a simple estimator that resolves the problem of nonsynchronicity and is unbiased and consistent for the integrated covariance in the absence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005564821
This paper analyzes the forecast accuracy of the multivariate realized volatility model introduced by Chiriac and Voev (2010), subject to different degrees of model parametrization and economic evaluation criteria. Bymodelling the Cholesky factors of the covariancematrices, the model generates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854426
The expected value of sums of squared intraday returns (realized variance) gives rise to a least squares regression which adapts itself to the assumptions of the noise process and allows for joint inference on integrated variance (<inline-graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="ubes_a_637876_o_ilm0001.gif"/>), noise moments, and price-noise relations. In the iid noise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010606682
Recently, consistent measures of the ex-post covariation of financial assets based on noisy high-frequency data have been proposed. A related strand of literature focuses on dynamic models and covariance forecasting for high-frequency data based covariance measures. The aim of this paper is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460187