This paper uses a Markov regime-switching model to assess the vulnerability of a series of Central and Eastern European countries (ie Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovak Republic) and two CIS countries (ie, Russia and Ukraine) during the period 1993–2004. For the new EU member states in Central...

Building on Vinhas de Souza (and Vinhas de Souza and Tudela), this chapter briefly describes the historical process of financial liberalization and integration of Baltic and Central European Countries (BCECs) since the 1990s. It investigates the hypotheses that the type of financial integration...

1. Introduction -- 2. Forgotten worlds: the stagflation of the 1970s -- 3. From Volcker to China: The “Great Moderation” begins -- 4. Houses made of sand: The “Global Financial Crisis” -- 5. Trojan horses: the long shadow of the euroarea sovereign crisis -- 6. COVID 19: the fiscal and...

This collection analyses the monetary and exchange rate strategies of the EU accession countries during the EMU (pre-) accession phase and also policy questions that will appear upon Euroarea entry. Written by specialists in the field, it is a must-read for all economists with an interest in the...

Aims to analyse specific sets of macro and structural policies in selected Eastern European countries. This book includes studies on the major Western CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States) countries, Belarus, Russia and Ukraine, plus a set of cross-country and regional studies

We characterise optimal discretionary monetary policy responses to cost-push shocks and to financial distress in the presence of model uncertainty. Under robust control, the central bank reacts more aggressively to both types of shocks, and less to the lagged policy rate, than if the true model...

Recent research has shown that optimal monetary policy may display considerable price-level drift. Proponents of price-level targeting have argued that the costs of eliminating the price-level drift may be reduced if the central bank responds flexibly by returning the price level only gradually...

Financial and capital liberalization can play a fundamental role in increasing growth and welfare. Typically, emerging or developing economies seek foreign savings to solve the inter-temporal savings-investment problem. On the other hand, current account surplus countries seek opportunities to...