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This paper considers Bayesian variable selection in regressions with a large number of possibly highly correlated macroeconomic predictors. I show that acknowledging the correlation structure in the predictors can improve forecasts over existing popular Bayesian variable selection algorithms.
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Robust control theory is a tool for assessing decision rules when a decision maker distrusts either the specification … control theory to the so-called multiplier and constraint preferences that have been used to express ambiguity aversion …
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Economists who use survey or administrative data for inferences regarding a population may want to combine information obtained from two or more samples drawn from the population. This is the case if there is no single sample that contains all relevant variables. A special case occurs if...
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Carlo. This method, which is a variant of importance sampling ideas, is generally applicable to high-dimensional models …
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Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
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