Showing 1 - 10 of 28,526
chapter investigates the use of economic forecasting in policy making by discussing practical examples, providing new … institutional details of the forecasting process at fiscal authorities and central banks. We provide empirical evidence that central … producing forecasts. We review forecasting models and provide practical applications. In particular, we illustrate how to use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025544
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277004
made in the first oil price shock of the 1970s. In response to the challenges encountered in forecasting in recent years … and the lessons learnt, the OECD and other international organisations have sought to improve their forecasting techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
The global financial crisis and the ensuing criticism of macroeconomics have inspired researchers to explore new modeling approaches. There are many new models that deliver improved estimates of the transmission of macroeconomic policies and aim to better integrate the financial sector in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024276
suggest that credible monetary policy contributes to anchoring of expectations about inflation and interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011009937
South Africa’s macroeconomic framework has served the economy well, but should be strengthened to make the economy more resilient to external shocks. Enhancing the credibility of the inflation target would provide the monetary authorities with more space for flexibility in the face of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854030
evidence that these changes have helped in terms of better anchoring inflation expectations. At the same time there is no firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045854
evidence that these changes have helped in terms of better anchoring inflation expectations. At the same time there is no firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444501
Post-covid inflation was predominantly driven by unexpectedly strong demand forces, not only in the United States, but also in the Euro Area. In comparison, the inflationary impact of adverse supply shocks was less pronounced, even though these shocks significantly constrained economic activity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056186
Several recent studies imply that the response of national saving to fiscal policy is non-monotonic. In this paper, we use two data sets to search for the circumstances in which such non-monotonic responses arise: one refers to a sample of OECD countries, as in previous studies, and one to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124252