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Women are under-represented in many top jobs. We investigate whether biased beliefs about female ability – a form of ‘mistake-based discrimination’ – are partially responsible for this under-representation. We use more than 10 years of data on the performance of female jockeys in U.K....
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An open question in market microstructure is whether ‘informed’ traders have an advantage due to access to private, inside, information; or due to a superior ability to process public information. In this article we attempt to answer this question with data from a sports betting exchange...
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In this note, I derive a probability measure for betting prices on an exchange reaching a target level prior to the market closing. This allows a bettor to take a long (short) position on a bet, and calculate the probability that the short (long) price will yield a profit before the market...
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