This paper proposes an empirical study of the shape of recoveries in financial markets from a bounce-back augmented Markov Switching model. This model is estimated for monthly stock market returns data of five developed countries for the post-1970 period. The presence and shape of the...

Since the late nineties, both theoretical and empirical analysis devoted to the real exchange rate suggest that their dynamics might be well described by nonlinear models. This paper examines this possibility for post-1970 monthly ASEAN-5 data, extending the existing research in two directions....

Using a dynamic panel threshold model, we find a nonlinear effect of financial development on participation in the global value chains for 92 countries. The effect is positive below a threshold and turns negative above it. We provide evidence supporting our explanation that when a country’s...

Purpose – Bounce-back effect of stock market returns has been found empirically using different approaches. However, few paper explains the underlying mechanism. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach – This paper fills this gap and provides an explanation for...

This paper proposes an empirical exploration of the possible asymmetric nature of the preferences of central bankers, with respect to inflation and output targets. The idea underlying this work lies in the widespread belief that central bankers interventions - through changes in a short-term...