Showing 1 - 10 of 18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994686
In this paper, we first provide an empirical evidence of the existence of intraday jumps in the crude oil price series. We then show that these jumps, in conjunction with realized volatility measures, are important in modeling the convenience yield over the 2001–2010 period. Our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116951
We use the information in intraday data to forecast the volatility of crude oil at a horizon of 1–66days using a variety of models relying on the decomposition of realized variance in its positive or negative (semivariances) part and its continuous or discontinuous part (jumps). We show the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871208
This paper investigates the relationship between trading volume and price volatility in the crude oil and natural gas futures markets when using high-frequency data. By regressing various realized volatility measures (with/without jumps) on trading volume and trading frequency, our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868743
Pricing carbon is a central concern in environmental economics, due to the worldwide importance of emissions trading schemes to regulate pollution. This paper documents the presence of small and large jumps in the stochastic process of the CO<InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$_2$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <msub> <mrow/> <mn>2</mn> </msub> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation> futures price. The large jumps have...</equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987559
To improve risk management in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), the European Climate Exchange (ECX) has introduced option instruments in October 2006. The central question we address is: can we identify a potential destabilizing effect of the introduction of options on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010576622
This note studies the single-period newsvendor problem when the newsvendor faces a multiplicative neutral independent background risk in an expected utility framework. It is shown that multiplicative risk vulnerability is a sufficient condition to guarantee a decrease in the optimal order. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005023391
A proper modeling of the long-run behavior of energy and oil intensities is crucial in many respects. This paper aims at checking whether this long-run behavior should be modelled as a deterministic or a stochastic trend or both. We first apply a test for a deterministic trend robust to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008507218
This paper evaluates the convergence of energy intensities for a group of 97 countries in the period 1971-2003. Convergence is tested using a recent method proposed by Pesaran (2007) [Pesaran, M.H., 2007. A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence. Journal of Econometrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008493250
Using daily data from March 2001 to June 2005, we estimate a VAR-BEKK model and find evidence of return and volatility spillovers between the German, the Dutch and the British forward electricity markets. We apply Hafner and Herwartz [2006, Journal of International Money and Finance 25, 719-740]...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008494718