Showing 1 - 10 of 22
To improve risk management in the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), the European Climate Exchange (ECX) has introduced option instruments in October 2006. The central question we address is: can we identify a potential destabilizing effect of the introduction of options on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010576622
A proper modeling of the long-run behavior of energy and oil intensities is crucial in many respects. This paper aims at checking whether this long-run behavior should be modelled as a deterministic or a stochastic trend or both. We first apply a test for a deterministic trend robust to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008507218
This paper evaluates the convergence of energy intensities for a group of 97 countries in the period 1971-2003. Convergence is tested using a recent method proposed by Pesaran (2007) [Pesaran, M.H., 2007. A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence. Journal of Econometrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008493250
Using daily data from March 2001 to June 2005, we estimate a VAR-BEKK model and find evidence of return and volatility spillovers between the German, the Dutch and the British forward electricity markets. We apply Hafner and Herwartz [2006, Journal of International Money and Finance 25, 719-740]...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008494718
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011528676
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011661711
In this paper, we check the hypothesis of a time varying cointegration relation between four industrial countries’ per capita GDPs and US per capita GDP on the period from 1870 to 1994. Park and Hahn (1999) give the methodology. Results confirm the hypothesis of time evolving cointegration in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382330
In this paper, we first provide an empirical evidence of the existence of intraday jumps in the crude oil price series. We then show that these jumps, in conjunction with realized volatility measures, are important in modeling the convenience yield over the 2001–2010 period. Our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116951
We use the information in intraday data to forecast the volatility of crude oil at a horizon of 1–66days using a variety of models relying on the decomposition of realized variance in its positive or negative (semivariances) part and its continuous or discontinuous part (jumps). We show the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871208
This paper investigates the relationship between trading volume and price volatility in the crude oil and natural gas futures markets when using high-frequency data. By regressing various realized volatility measures (with/without jumps) on trading volume and trading frequency, our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868743