Showing 1 - 10 of 507
Financial risk management typically deals with low-probability events in the tails of asset return distributions. To better capture the behavior of these tails, several studies have clearly highlighted that one should rely on a methodology that directly focuses on the tails of the distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971766
to the VaR when dependence is considered. The efficiency of those methods was tested and compared using the backtesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597521
A statistical procedure for estimating the risk of strong winds from hurricanes, known as the Hurricane Risk Calculator, is demonstrated and applied to several major cities in Louisiana. The procedure provides an estimate of wind risk over different length periods and can be applied to any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996174
The sample interval for the selection of extreme magnitudes plays an important part in the quality of Gumbel model fitting. A short sample interval can produce many observations, which is helpful in obtaining a reliably fitting model. However a short sample interval can bring many dummy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996295
For consideration of structural design of buildings and infrastructure in Australia, this paper presents hazard modelling and mapping of extreme wind gusts under the current climate and likely future climate change. Statistical and probabilistic approaches are applied to analyse the daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996995
In this paper I develop the Discrete Choice Analytically Flexible (DCAF) model of demand for differentiated products. DCAF relaxes the constraints imposed on the matrix of own- and cross-price elasticities of demand by popular analytic discrete choice models such as the Multinomial Logit (MNL)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656174
Hurricanes pose serious threats to people and infrastructure along the United States Gulf and Atlantic coasts. The risk of the strongest hurricane winds over the North Atlantic basin is analyzed using a statistical model from extreme value theory and a tessellation of the domain. The spatial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758888
A new sizing approach is applied in this paper to stand-alone PV systems design, which is based on systems configurations without shedding load. The investigation is based on a detailed study of the minimum storage requirement and an analysis of the sizing curves. The analysis reveals the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010806801
International diversification has costs and benefits, depending on the degree of asset dependence. We study … international diversification with two dependence measures: correlations and extreme dependence. We discover that dependence has … additional findings related to dependence. First, the timing of downside risk differs depending on the region. Surprisingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065732
US coastal cities are regularly subjected to destruction by tropical cyclones. The risk of tropical cyclone winds varies along the length of the coastline. We analyze landfalling North Atlantic basin tropical cyclones whose intensities are considered extreme relative to their landfall location....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151565