In this article, the authors present a statistical analysis of the factors that have driven monthly variations in the aggregate level of support among Israeli Jews for the Oslo Peace Accords since the onset of the intifada. Using data from monthly opinion polls, they find that there is a stable...

In this paper we estimate a time-series model of the financial asset portfolio shares in Egypt, distinguishing between assets of varying degrees of liquidity and between domestic currency and foreign currency deposits. While financial liberalization and financial stability are found to have...

Presents a conceptual framework for measuring the impact of uncertainty on investment decisions in a developing country; this framework is applied to post-war investment in mining and manufacturing in South Africa.

The international community has a declared intention to protect civilians from deliberate violence in civil conflicts. The optimal type of foreign intervention and its optimal timing are likely to depend on the combat strategies of the belligerents. Weak belligerents unable to provide economic...

The authors analyse newly collected time-series data measuring the dimensions of violent political conflict in Egypt. Attention is focused on the interaction between politically motivated attacks by Islamists and the counter-insurgency measures used by the Egyptian government. Both insurgency...

Time-series data from Israel are used to investigate the dynamics of the causal links between the intensity of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict and capital flight. A number of dimensions of the conflict are considered, including Israeli and Palestinian fatalities, the incidence of Green...