Summary We propose an estimate for the index of extreme value distribution which based on k n -record values and show its consistency and asymptotic normality. The problem of specifying the optimal value of k  =  k n involved in our estimator is investigated. Some simulation results are also...

Stock returns exhibit heavy tails and volatility clustering. These features, motivating the use of GARCH models, make it difficult to predict times and sizes of losses that might occur. Estimation of losses, like the Value-at-Risk, often assume that returns, normalized by the level of...

This paper characterizes the long term social discount rate (SDR) in terms of indices of variation and identifies a class of discount functions that assign weight to the distant future in terms of the asymptotes of their hazard rates. Let A(t) be a discount function supported on [0, +∞[, whose...

In insurance, if the insurer continuously invests her wealth in risk-free and risky assets, then the price process of the investment portfolio can be described as a geometric Lévy process. People always are interested in estimating the tail distribution of the stochastic present value of...

Asymptotic results are obtained for several conditional measures of association. The chosen random variables are the first two order statistics and the total sum within a random sum. Many of the results have confirmed the “one-jump” property of the risk model. Non-trivial limits are...

The relationship between the theory of elliptically contoured distributions and the concept of tail dependence is investigated. We show that bivariate elliptical distributions possess the so-called tail dependence property if the tail of their generating random variable is regularly varying, and...

We establish a “Central Limit Theorem” for rank distributions, which provides a detailed characterization and classification of their universal macroscopic statistics and phase transitions. The limit theorem is based on the statistical notion of Lorenz curves, and is termed the “Lorenzian...

The mode-coupling equations used to study glasses and supercooled liquids define the underlying regenerative processes represented by an indicator function Z(t). Such a process is a special case of an alternating renewal process, and it introduces in a natural way a stochastic two level system....