We study a wide range of hybrid inflation–targeting (IT) and managed exchange rate regimes, analyzing their implications for inflation, output and the exchange rate. To this end, we develop an open economy new–Keynesian model featuring sterilized interventions as an additional central bank...

We discuss and reconcile the geological and economic/technological views concerning the future of world oil production and prices, and present a nonlinear econometric model of the world oil market that encompasses both views. The model performs far better than existing empirical models in...

This note demonstrates a decomposition of correlations into contributions of structural shocks. The method is useful for analysis of complex models that can be expressed as linear state-space models, e.g., DSGE, SVAR or dynamic factor models.