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We state that long-run restrictions that identify structural shocks in VAR models with unit roots lose their original interpretation if the fractional integration order of the affected variable is below one. For such fractionally integrated models we consider a medium-run approach that employs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743698
This paper explores the implications of asset return predictability for long-term portfolio choice when return-forecasting variables are fractionally integrated. For important predictor variables, like the dividend-price ratio, and nominal and real interest rates, we estimate orders of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998224
The non-stationarity of many macroeconomic time-series has lead to an increased demand for economic models that are able to generate fragile equilibria. For instance, the natural unemployment rate is al- lowed to shift over time depending on past unemployment. Actually, many European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008505585
Recently, using mixed data on Canadian housing, Parmeter, Henderson, and Kumbhakar (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2007; 22: 695-699) found that a nonparametric approach for estimating a hedonic house price function is superior to formerly suggested parametric and semiparametric specifications. We...
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We propose an extension of structural fractionally integrated vector autoregressive models that avoids certain undesirable effects on the impulse responses that occur if long-run identification restrictions are imposed. We derive the model's Granger representation and investigate the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010710917
Dieses Buch befaßt sich mit der empirischen Analyse ausgewählter Wechselkurse. Im Mittelpunkt steht dabei ein neuer univariater zeitreihentheoretischer Ansatz, der die Modellierung von Long-Memory-Phänomenen erlaubt. Eine Zeitreihe ist dann durch Long Memory charakterisiert, wenn zufällige...
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