Showing 1 - 10 of 59
Weather derivatives provide a tool for weather risk management, and the markets for these exotic financial products are gradually emerging in size and importance. This unique monograph presents a unified approach to the modeling and analysis of such weather derivatives, including financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156372
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800392
Daily average temperature variations are modelled with a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a generalized hyperbolic Levy process and having seasonal mean and volatility. It is empirically demonstrated that the proposed dynamics fits Norwegian temperature data quite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495362
Arbitrage theory is used to price forward (futures) contracts in energy markets, where the underlying assets are non-tradeable. The method is based on the so-called 'fitting of the yield curve' technique from interest rate theory. The spot price dynamics of Schwartz is generalized to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495373
Following the increasing awareness of the risk from volatility fluctuations, the market for hedging contracts written on realized volatility has surged. Companies looking for means to secure against unexpected accumulation of market activity can find over-the-counter products written on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495398
A mean-reverting model is proposed for the spot price dynamics of electricity which includes seasonality of the prices and spikes. The dynamics is a sum of non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with jump processes giving the normal variations and spike behaviour of the prices. The amplitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495417
We discuss the modeling of electricity contracts traded in many deregulated power markets. These forward/futures type contracts deliver (either physically or financially) electricity over a specified time period, and is frequently referred to as swaps since they in effect represent an exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005115256
Daily average wind speeds are dynamically modelled by a continuous-time autoregressive model with seasonal mean and volatility. Futures prices based on an index of aggregated wind speeds are derived, and it is shown that the Samuelson effect breaks down. The volatility of these futures will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005115334
We propose a quasi-Monte Carlo (qMC) algorithm to simulate variates from the normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distribution. The algorithm is based on a Monte Carlo technique found in Rydberg [13], and is based on sampling three independent uniform variables. We apply the algorithm to three problems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971807
We consider the problem of utility indifference pricing of a put option written on a non-tradeable asset, where we can hedge in a correlated asset. The dynamics are assumed to be a two-dimensional geometric Brownian motion, and we suppose that the issuer of the option have exponential risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971812