The nonlinear modelization has experimented a great resurgence of the hand of Chaos Theory, which shown the possibility of obtaining complex behaviors produced endogenously by the dynamics of the model, without the necessity to include exogenous random shocks. On the other hand, the importance...

We review key aspects of forecasting using nonlinear models. Because economic models are typically misspecified, the resulting forecasts provide only an approximation to the best possible forecast. Although it is in principle possible to obtain superior approximations to the optimal forecast...

We consider the problem of detecting unobserved heterogeneity, that is, the problem of testing the absence of random individual effects in an n×T panel. We establish a local asymptotic normality property–with respect to intercept, regression coefficient, the scale parameter σ of the error,...

Purpose Cyber risk has significantly increased over the past twenty years. In many organizations, data and operations are managed through a complex technology stack underpinned by an Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system such as systemanalyse programmentwicklung (SAP). The ERP environment by...

Standard approaches to implement multiple imputation do not automatically incorporate nonlinear relations like interaction effects. This leads to biased parameter estimates when interactions are present in a dataset. With the aim of providing an imputation method which preserves interactions in...

The occurrence of missing data is a major problem in statistical data analysis. All scientific fields and data of all kinds and size are touched by this problem. There is a number of ad-hoc solutions which unfortunately lead to a loss of power, biased inference, underestimation of variability...

In this article we estimate health transition probabilities using longitudinal data collected in France for the survey on handicaps, disabilities and dependencies from 1998 to 2001. Life expectancies with and without disabilities are estimated using a Markov-based multi-state life table approach...