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We introduce a model of super-exponential financial bubbles with two assets (risky and risk-free), in which fundamentalist and chartist traders co-exist. Fundamentalists form expectations on the return and risk of a risky asset and maximize their constant relative risk aversion expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293440
Continuous Gibrat#x2019;s Law and Gabaix#x2019;s Derivation of Zipf#x2019;s Law -- Flow of Firm Creation -- Useful Properties of Realizations of the Geometric Brownian Motion -- Exit or #x201C;Death#x201D; of Firms -- Deviations from Gibrat#x2019;s Law and Implications for Generalized Zipf#x2019;s Laws -- Firm#x2019;s Sudden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013521305
We introduce a model of super-exponential financial bubbles with two assets (risky and risk-free), in which fundamentalist and chartist traders co-exist. Fundamentalists form expectations on the return and risk of a risky asset and maximize their constant relative risk aversion expected utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263924
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587105
The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481837
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009282693
Many natural and social systems are characterized by bursty dynamics, for which past events trigger future activity. These systems can be modelled by so-called self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson processes. It is generally assumed that all events have similar triggering abilities. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010992748
This short review presents a selected history of the mutual fertilization between physics and economics, from Isaac Newton and Adam Smith to the present. The fundamentally different perspectives embraced in theories developed in financial economics compared with physics are dissected with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411863
Humankind is confronted with a "nuclear stewardship curse'', facing the prospect of needing to manage nuclear products over long time scales in the face of the short-time scales of human polities. I propose a super Manhattan-type effort to rejuvenate the nuclear energy industry to overcome the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296090
The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014488373