This paper aims to estimate a parsimonious data-congruent model for aggregate real consumption in Japan using quarterly data over the past two decades. Testing co-breaking, cointegration and weak exogeneity plays an important role in pursuing the model reduction. It is demonstrated that...

This paper estimates a dynamic empirical model for Japan’s business fixed investment. A multivariate cointegration analysis of Japan’s time series data over the past two decades shows that the term spread (the difference between long-term and short-term interest rates) and various diffusion...

This paper explores various dynamic properties of daily data for the yen–dollar exchange rate. This empirical study shows that quantitative information articulated with technical trading acts as market-based indicators, thus contributing to the modelling of daily fluctuations in the exchange...